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The dividing line in what Ukrainians call their “dignity revolution” is instead the choice between Western liberal democracy and the Kremlin’s neo-authoritarianism. The tragic paradox for Kyiv is that each democratic success has made it more vulnerable to a further Russian escalation. Ukrainians didn’t elect Poroshenko for his charisma or his barnstorming speeches. Ukraine, battling Russian-backed separatists, is the only European country at war. Ending the civil unrest is high on the new Ukrainian government’s to do list. It also depends on the definition of "war".And it also depends on the definition of "win".And finally it depends on which media source you believe. And what's likely to happen next? But not a single significant business leader anywhere in the country—including the Donbass—is backing the Russia-led rebels. That may sound like a simple question, but it isn't. The May 25 presidential election, in which Petro Poroshenko, a Russian-speaking centrist businessman from the south, won a strong majority on the first ballot in a field of 17 candidates, gave the lie to that putative threat. ... Russia may be winning the war, with the separatists point of view being taken more seriously, but sanctions are likely to trigger a recession. Whatever happens next, the question ‘who won the war in Ukraine’ is perhaps the wrong one to ask. Ukraine’s new media. Kiev doesn’t seem to think so. For Ukrainians, this isn’t about the reshaping of the world’s geostrategic chessboard—who would chose to be a pawn in someone else’s power play? This backing could strengthen Ukraine in … Moscow is also eager for a government that it can recognize, and one that could conclude the arrangements it desires. “The differences between Ukrainian and Russian people are cosmetic,” he wrote in a recent  blog post. Units from the newly annexed Republic of Crimea were near the forefront of the parade. That reality is obscured by the lazy shorthand that often frames the conflict in eastern Ukraine as a Yugoslav-style civil war, driven by ancient cultural, linguistic and religious divisions. That may sound like a simple question, but it isn't. If anything, Ukraine’s government appears to be returning to its traditional policy of finding a way to manage Western expectations and moderating Russia’s anger. Recent polling suggests that 63% of Ukrainians in the east believe the elections will be unfair, compared with 59% in the west, who have a positive outlook. Ukraine’s third success is the consolidation of its post-revolutionary government. But who is winning the ‘information war’? There is more chatter out of Eastern Ukraine that suggests Kiev might be willing to give in to the separatists’ demands of regional autonomy. What does Russian President Vladimir Putin want from Ukraine? Is Russia Winning Ukraine 'War'? This was evident when Vladimir Putin asked the separatists to postpone their referendums on May 11, only to be ignored. Chrystia Freeland is the federal member of parliament for Toronto Centre and the author of Plutocrats: the Rise of the New Global Super-Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else. It is a measure of the gravity of the moment that Ukrainians accepted Poroshenko’s argument and, for the first time since independence, chose a president on the first ballot and with strong backing from across the country. Hence Kyiv is trying to do enough to satisfy the political necessities of the West, but staying short of inciting a heavy-handed Russian response. "Ukraine’s future is being determined by an unpredictable battle for leverage on the ground.". It is thus willing to support various frameworks for negotiations to keep the West occupied, and to watch Ukraine create a merry-go-round of counterterrorism operations that go nowhere. That may sound like a simple question, but it isn't. Answer May Shock You! It also depends on the definition of "war". Ukraine was a cradle of Russian civilization—they might become a source of rebirth yet again.”. It is fought with guns and rockets on the ground and with warnings and sanctions at the negotiating table. Ultimately, whoever is elected in Kyiv will have to agree to a compromise with Moscow on the degree of structural influence it will be given in Ukraine. For both Moscow and Kyiv, TV is the key to winning the hearts and minds of Ukrainians. At the moment, Russia holds most of the cards it needs to secure the original terms of its proposal for a compromise on Ukraine. And in the years since 1991, when Ukraine gained its independence from the USSR, industrial paralysis and subsequent war have left many to romanticize the old Soviet order. Moscow does not want to support these regions. But will Putin invade? Western leaders have a serious problem on their hands. But the same logic that makes Ukraine a tempting morsel for irredentists makes it a powerful example for democrats. ... launch an offensive and is leading many to question whether Ukraine has sufficient forces to fight a more free-wheeling war in the east. -- Kenneth Rapoza, Forbes. Copied United States military planes recently flew over Ukraine … The truth is that everybody lost. Ukraine is winning the war. Ukraine’s new media. Its control over the two separatist regions is tentative at best. Here’s how Max Skibinsky, a Russian Silicon Valley venture capitalist, describes it. ‘Listen to the Nation! There are dozens of examples from the past few weeks of Kiev trouncing Moscow in the information war. These efforts had some success in the Donbass, but it is important to appreciate how completely they failed in the rest of what Putin has named “Novorossia,” or New Russia. That was over 1000 years ago. Ending the civil unrest is high on the new Ukrainian government’s to do list. The notion that all of Ukraine can be pulled into a Western orientation now appears unrealistic and naïve. Will the world’s democracies stand by and let Putin have his way? Parubiy is wrong and here are five reasons why. That may sound like a simple question, but it isn’t. Russia’s May 9 Victory Day parade was a special occasion this year intended to mark not just the defeat of Germany in World War II, but also Vladimir Putin’s victory in Crimea. Like a chess master, perhaps the U.S. always needs to think a few moves ahead and reset our resolve after the exhaustion of the first Cold War and the tailspin following the proxy wars. The War in Donbass is an armed conflict in the Donbass region of Ukraine, part of the Ukrainian crisis and the broader Russo-Ukrainian War. (With the single exception of his takeover of Crimea, where Ukraine’s post-revolutionary disorganization, Putin’s unexpected lightning attack and the presence of the Black Sea Fleet made for a deceptively fast and easy victory.). That question leads to a second question "In whose eyes?" It also includes wars fought outside of Ukraine by Ukrainian military. Moscow realizes this, and it also sees that it is Western leaders who need a policy “off-ramp” in the crisis. ”When Ukraine will meet those (NATO) criteria – possibly within the next 5-6 years – then the people of Ukraine will make their choice,” Poroshenko said. The biggest question in world affairs today is whether Russia will take the immense gamble of explicitly invading Ukraine rather than allow its proxies to be defeated. Ukraine’s political culture has no messianic or imperialist strain, and today building democracy at home is more than enough to keep the country’s leaders busy. That may sound like a simple question, but it isn’t. Ukraine is busily conducting “counterterrorism operations,” but it has become increasingly obvious that these are a veneer to mask Kyiv’s lack of interest in contesting the Russian-supported insurgency. Is Russia Winning Ukraine 'War'? On July 31, President Poroshenko signed a new education law, drafted in large part by professors and students, many of whom were active on the Maidan, granting universities more autonomy from the central government and introducing a Western-style system of graduate degrees. Is a meeting between Anduin and other Alliance leaders a political and even struggle... Facing upheaval on the domestic front living underground in fear and misery emptied by theft the! Alor is a meeting between Anduin and other Alliance leaders Slavic tribe and he is.. Also eager for a new phase of sanctions against Russia negotiating table be pulled into a orientation. 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